Category Archives: Political Behavior

Quantifying Bill’s Value to Hillary’s Campaign (Part 2)

In a recent post, I explored whether it’s possible to quantify Bill’s value to Hillary Clinton’s campaign (see here).  In other words: Do voters reward (and punish) Hillary Clinton based on their opinions of her husband?  If so, it could … Continue reading

Posted in Elections, Political Behavior, Political Parties, The Presidency | Leave a comment

Quantifying Bill’s Value to Hillary’s Campaign (Part I)

In presidential elections, relationships matter.  For example, political scientists know that the relationship between economic conditions, the number of causalities in war, and the incumbent’s party affiliation explain the bulk of presidential election outcomes. In the 2016 presidential election, however, … Continue reading

Posted in Political Behavior, The Presidency | 2 Comments

Yes, Democrats can win the House (Though Probably not This Year)

Chris Cillizza wrote a piece titled, “Why it’s going to be hard for Democrats to win back the House this decade.” He makes the argument that with a declining share of competitive seats it will make it harder for Democrats to … Continue reading

Posted in Electoral Institutions, Political Behavior, Political Parties | Leave a comment

An Ideological Mapping of South Carolina’s Senate Candidates

When it comes to politics, South Carolina is full of intrigue. From Lee Atwater’s Southern Strategy and the 2000 Republican primary to Joe Wilson’s “You Lie!” and Stephen Colbert’s rally with Herman Cain, the Palmetto State routinely produces compelling political storylines. … Continue reading

Posted in Elections, Political Behavior, Political Parties, Voting Behavior | Leave a comment

Who’s the Worst President? Evaluating the Quinnipiac Poll

Quinnipiac University’s “worst president” poll got a lot of press. Washington Post, the New York Times, CNN, Fox, and virtually every other news outlet have carried the headline, “Obama is the Worst President since WWII.” This particular survey question is press-chum. The … Continue reading

Posted in Political Behavior | Leave a comment

Let’s Pump the Brakes on Congressional Approval Bashing

Let me start with this: yes, America hates Congress. With few exceptions Congress very rarely enjoys high job approval. Job disapproval is in some ways built into the institution’s DNA. However, recently it has been common for people to equate … Continue reading

Posted in Electoral Institutions, Political Behavior | 2 Comments

Perspectives on the South Carolina Special Election

Voters in South Carolina’s 1st  district head to the polls today for a special election.  What follows is my perspective on the election with links to worthwhile readings on the race. The Tale of the Tape PPP polled the 1st … Continue reading

Posted in Elections, Political Behavior, Political Parties, Voting Behavior | 3 Comments